Arbeitspapier

Interwar Deflation and Depression

Interwar macroeconomic history is a natural place to look for evidence on the correlations between (a) deflation and depression and (b) unexpected deflation and depression. We apply time-series methods to measure unexpected deflation or inflation for 26 countries from 1922 to 1939. The results suggest much variation across countries in the degree to which the ongoing deflation of the 1930s was unexpected. There is a significant, positive correlation between deflation and depression for the entire period but relatively little evidence of a role for unexpected deflation.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Queen's Economics Department Working Paper ; No. 1310

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: General, International, or Comparative
Thema
inflation expectations
interwar period
Great Depression

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Dorval, Bill
Smith, Gregor W.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Queen's University, Department of Economics
(wo)
Kingston (Ontario)
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Dorval, Bill
  • Smith, Gregor W.
  • Queen's University, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2013

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