Arbeitspapier

What Shapes Young Elite Athletes' Perception of Chances in an Environment of Great Uncertainty?

Unrealistic optimism is a commonly observed bias in the perception of chances. In this paper, we examine whether the bias is also present among young elite soccer players (10 to 23 years old) who receive regular objective feedback through external assessments. Utilising a large unique data set of almost 1600 individuals allows us to explore the empirical validation of the ipsative theory of human behaviour. In particular, we analyse how factors such as age or experience, education, peer group performance, and the level of integration into culture exert influence over young elite athletes' perceived chance of becoming a professional player. Working with a homogeneous dataset of individuals possessing similar characteristics and professional goals allows us to control for and isolate (unobserved) factors that may shape perceptions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CREMA Working Paper ; No. 2012-14

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
Thema
Perception of chances
unrealistic optimism
ipsative possibility set
integration effects
soccer

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Jung, Verena
Schmidt, Sascha L.
Torgler, Benno
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Jung, Verena
  • Schmidt, Sascha L.
  • Torgler, Benno
  • Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)

Entstanden

  • 2012

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