Arbeitspapier

Causal Analysis of Policy Effects on Fertility

This chapter reviews the literature on the causal effects of policies on fertility. It focuses on evidence from experiments and quasi-experiments in low fertility contexts, including studies from Europe, Northern America, Oceania and Asia. Making no a priori restrictions on policy type, the review encompasses evaluations of parental leave, childcare, health insurance, and financial incentives such as child transfers. Childcare expansions increase completed fertility. Financial incentives had positive effects on fertility across contexts, both in the short and long run. Expansions of parental leave rights in Central Europe, and introduction of parental leave in the U.S., also had positive effects. Distributional effects of these policies are very different, with parental leave compensation benefiting high-earning couples, while expansions of child care programs have potential to reduce social inequalities.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10690

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Demographic Economics: Public Policy
National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
Health: Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
Subject
fertility
parental leave
cash transfers
childcare
healthcare
public policy
causal effect

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hart, Rannveig Kaldager
Bergsvik, Janna
Fauske, Agnes
Kim, Wookun
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hart, Rannveig Kaldager
  • Bergsvik, Janna
  • Fauske, Agnes
  • Kim, Wookun
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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