Arbeitspapier

The Future European Natural Gas Market - are lower gas prices attainable?

We analyse effects of various natural gas supply scenarios in a liberalised Western European energy market in 2010. Our starting point is the uncertainties about future natural gas exports from Russia and LNG-producing countries. Our results indicate that the average natural gas producer price in Western Europe is likely to be higher in 2010 than the average historical price the last 15 years, even in an optimistic supply scenario. We find only modest effects on both average natural gas producer prices and trade patterns of radical changes in supply volumes. However, there are significant country specific differences, primarily related to the reliance on Russian gas exports and the use of gas fired power generation

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 379

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply; Prices
Energy: Demand and Supply; Prices
Thema
Electricity
energy modeling
natural gas
liberalized energy markets
LNG
Russia

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Sagen, Eirik Lund
Aune, Finn Roar
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Statistics Norway, Research Department
(wo)
Oslo
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Sagen, Eirik Lund
  • Aune, Finn Roar
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department

Entstanden

  • 2004

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