Artikel

Robust scoring rules

Is it possible to guarantee that the mere exposure of a subject to a belief elicitation task will not affect the very same beliefs that we are trying to elicit? In this paper, we introduce mechanisms that make it simultaneously strictly dominant for the subject (a) not to acquire any information that could potentially lead to belief updating as a response to the incentives provided by the mechanism itself, and (b) to report his beliefs truthfully. Such mechanisms are called robust scoring rules. We prove that robust scoring rules always exist under mild assumptions on the subject's costs for acquiring information. Moreover, every scoring rule can become approximately robust, in the sense that if we scale down the incentives sufficiently, we will approximate with arbitrary precision the beliefs that the subject would have held if he had not been confronted with the belief-elicitation task.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Theoretical Economics ; ISSN: 1555-7561 ; Volume: 15 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 955-987 ; New Haven, CT: The Econometric Society

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Neuroeconomics
Thema
Non-invasive belief elicitation
prior beliefs
rational inattention
posterior-separability
Shannon entropy
population beliefs

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Tsakas, Elias
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
The Econometric Society
(wo)
New Haven, CT
(wann)
2020

DOI
doi:10.3982/TE3557
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Tsakas, Elias
  • The Econometric Society

Entstanden

  • 2020

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