Arbeitspapier

Can Tax Incentives Bring Brains Back? Returnees Tax Schemes and High-Skilled Migration in Italy

Brain drain is a growing concern for many countries experiencing large emigration rates of their highly educated citizens. While several European countries have designed preferential tax schemes to attract high-skilled individuals, there is limited empirical evidence on the effectiveness of fiscal incentives in a context of brain drain, and on migration responses beyond top earners. In this paper we investigate the effects of the Italian 2010 tax scheme "Controesodo", which granted a generous income tax exemption to young high-skilled expatriates who relocate to Italy. Eligibility requires a college degree as well as being born in 1969 or later, which creates suitable quasi-experimental conditions to identify the effect of tax incentives. Using a Triple Difference design and administrative data on return migration, we find that eligible individuals are 27% more likely to move back to Italy post-reform. Additionally, using social security data from the main origin country of Italian returnees (Germany), we uncover significant effects throughout the wage distribution, suggesting that mobility in response to tax incentives is a broad phenomenon not limited to top earners. A cost-benefit analysis reveals that the direct fiscal impact of the reform – a lower bound of the total effect in the presence of human capital externalities – is marginally positive, by virtue of the tax scheme targeting young high-skilled individuals.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10271

Classification
Wirtschaft
Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers: General
Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General
International Migration
Subject
Brain Drain
Steuervergünstigung
Einkommensteuer
Rückwanderung
Italien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bassetto, Jacopo
Ippedico, Giuseppe
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bassetto, Jacopo
  • Ippedico, Giuseppe
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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