Arbeitspapier
German exports to the euro area
The growth of the German economy intrinsically depends on the development of German exports to the euro area, which is by far the biggest market for German products. The paper estimates a structural equation for the export demand from the EMU member countries, which is suitable for both simulations and short-term forecasts. However, the equation systematically underestimates the export demand for data from 1999 onwards, indicating that German exports have greatly benefited from the introduction of the European Monetary Union--a special effect, that is not considered in the structural equation.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 286
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- Thema
-
Export Demand
Income and Price Elasticities
Intra-EMU Trade
Error Correction Model
Export
Nachfrage
Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion
Schätzung
EU-Binnenhandel
Deutschland
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Stephan, Sabine
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
- (wo)
-
Berlin
- (wann)
-
2002
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Stephan, Sabine
- Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
Entstanden
- 2002