Arbeitspapier

Real exchange rate variations, nontraded goods and disaggregated CPI data

The behavior of the real exchange rate, measuring movements in the relative consumer price indexes between countries, remains a prominent puzzle in international macroeconomics. Two key theories of the real exchange rate differ in the role played by goods not traded internationally. On one hand, the theory of Balassa-Samuelson, on the other hand, models with sticky prices. This study provides new empirical evidence on nontraded goods importance in real exchange volatility by using more highly disaggregated data than used in previous literature on prices and trade between the U.S. and Mexico for the period 2002-2009. The main results suggest that the nontraded component accounts for between 69 and up to 84 percent of the real exchange rate volatility. In addition, the results show that the nontraded component is negatively correlated with the traded component despite both countries being in a flexible exchange rate regime contradicting previous literature. These results generally support the Balassa-Samuelson theory.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2012-05

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Foreign Exchange
Thema
Real exchange rates
Relative prices
Kaufkraftparität
Volatilität
Balassa-Samuelson Effekt
USA
Mexiko

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hernandez Vega, Marco A.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Banco de México
(wo)
Ciudad de México
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hernandez Vega, Marco A.
  • Banco de México

Entstanden

  • 2012

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