Arbeitspapier

Twin peaks or three components?: analyzing the world's cross-country distribution of income

In this paper we analyze the world´s cross-national distribution of income and its evolution from 1970 to 2003. We argue that modeling this distribution by a finite mixture and investigating its number of components has advantages over nonparametric inference concerning the number of modes. In particular, the number of components of the distribution does not depend on the scale chosen (original or logarithmic), whereas the number of modes does. Instead of so-called twin-peaks, we find that the distribution appears to have only two components in 1970-1975, but consists of three components from 1976 onwards, a low, average and high mean-income group, with group means diverging over time. Here we apply recently developed modified likelihood ratio tests for the number of components in a finite mixture. The intra distributional dynamics are investigated in detail using posterior probability estimates.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IAI Discussion Papers ; No. 162

Classification
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Global Outlook
Subject
Einkommensverteilung
Disparitätsmaß
Statistische Verteilung
Nichtparametrisches Verfahren
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Holzmann, Hajo
Vollmer, Sebastian
Weisbrod, Julian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research (IAI)
(where)
Göttingen
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
12.07.2024, 1:22 PM CEST

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Holzmann, Hajo
  • Vollmer, Sebastian
  • Weisbrod, Julian
  • Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research (IAI)

Time of origin

  • 2007

Other Objects (12)