Arbeitspapier

Alternative Paths Towards EMU: Lessons from an Expanded Mundell-Fleming Model for the Accession Countries

A small expectations-expanded "Mundell-Fleming" model is built for the European Union Accession Countries and estimated to assess the optimality of different exchange rate regimes (a peg and a float) through a simple welfare function. Floating appears as the best option for most of the countries in our sample, and this conclusion is robust to changes in the weights of the welfare function. The "shock absorbing" qualities of the regimes for different types of innovations is assessed via a VAR and a structural model, and here again the float seems to outperform a harder regime, in the emergence of temporary shocks.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1132

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
International Economic Order and Integration
Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: International Trade, Finance, Investment, Relations, and Aid
Thema
Euro
Enlargement
Transition Economies
Exchange Rate Regimes
Mundell-Fleming Models
Wechselkurssystem
Übergangswirtschaft
EU-Erweiterung
Mundell-Fleming-Modell
Erwartungstheorie
Schätzung
Osteuropa

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio
Ledrut, Elisabeth
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for World Economics (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2002

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio
  • Ledrut, Elisabeth
  • Kiel Institute for World Economics (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2002

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