Arbeitspapier

EMU and Accession Countries: Fuzzy Cluster Analysis of Membership

This paper estimates the readiness of the Accession Countries of Central and East Europe for EMU or for unilateral euroisation using a fuzzy clustering algorithm. The variables to which the algorithm is applied are suggested alternately by the criteria in the Maastricht Treaty (nominal convergence) and by Optimum Currency Area theory (real convergence). The algorithm reveals that Estonia and Slovenia are the leaders in both nominal and real convergence, whereas the other countries from the 1998 Accession Wave have achieved substantial results only in real convergence. Moreover, Poland is excluded from the leading group in the most recent years due to its worsened economic performance.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 71

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
CEECs
Optimum currency area
EMU
fuzzy cluster analysis
nominal and real convergence

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Boreiko, Dimitri
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Boreiko, Dimitri
  • Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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