Estimating the uncertainty of the greenhouse gas emission accounts in global multi-regional input–output analysis

Abstract CO 2 CH 4 N 2 O emissions. We propagate uncertainty from the raw data, i.e. the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and EDGAR inventories, to the GHG emission accounts and then further to the GHG footprints. We address both limitations from previous studies. First, instead of making simplistic assumptions, we utilise authoritative raw data uncertainty estimates from the National Inventory Reports (NIRs) submitted to the UNFCCC and a recent study on uncertainty of the EDGAR emission inventory. Second, we account for inherent correlations due to data disaggregation by sampling from a Dirichlet distribution. CO 2 CH 4 N 2 O. For CO 2 CO 2 CH 4 N 2 O. Overall, uncertainty decreases when propagated from GHG emission accounts to GHG footprints, likely due to the cancelling-out effects caused by the distribution of emissions and their uncertainties across global supply chains. Our GHG emission accounts generally align with official EXIOBASE emission accounts and OECD data at the country level, though discrepancies at the sectoral level give cause for further examination. We provide our GHG emission accounts with associated uncertainties and correlations at 10.5281/zenodo.10041196 to complement the official EXIOBASE emission accounts for users interested in estimating the uncertainties of their results.

Object Details

• Location: Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
• Extent: Online-Ressource
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Estimating the uncertainty of the greenhouse gas emission accounts in global multi-regional input–output analysis ; volume:16 ; number:6 ; year:2024 ; pages:2669-2700 ; extent:32 ; Earth system science data ; 16, Heft 6 (2024), 2669-2700 (gesamt 32)

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Soziale Probleme, Sozialdienste, Versicherungen

Contributors, Places and Time

• Creator: Schulte, Simon ; Jakobs, Arthur ; Pauliuk, Stefan

Further information

• DOI: 10.5194/essd-16-2669-2024
• URN: urn:nbn:de:101:1-2406060417138.430397288105
• Rights: Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
• Last update: 14.08.2025, 10:45 AM CEST