Arbeitspapier

Fiscal policy multipliers and spillovers in a multi-regional macroeconomic input-output model

The recent macroeconomic literature dealing with fiscal policy multipliers is dominated by applications of aggregate DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) models, whereas multi-sectoral models (econometric input-output or CGE) are absent. This paper contributes to the debate from a multiregional, multi-sectoral perspective. The macroeconomic input-output model applied covers 67 countries (plus a statistical rest of world) and incorporates model blocks for private consumption, production, the labour market and the public sector. Household consumption follows the permanent income hypothesis, but with important liquidity constraints. This study calculates macroeconomic and sectoral impacts of fiscal policy in one peripheral EU economy (Spain) as well as their inter-regional spillovers to the rest of Europe. Multipliers are about 1.9 for public consumption and 1.2 for household taxes or transfers in the case of high liquidity constraints (1.6 and 0.9, respectively, for low liquidity constraints). Partially endogenous public spending produces additional domestic effects as well as relatively large spillovers for some highly indebted European countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIFO Working Papers ; No. 540

Classification
Wirtschaft
Quantitative Policy Modeling
Input-Output Models
National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General
Subject
Input-output modelling
fiscal policy multiplier
consumption theory

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kratena, Kurt
Streicher, Gerhard
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kratena, Kurt
  • Streicher, Gerhard
  • Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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