Arbeitspapier

A new approach to analyzing convergence and synchronicity in growth and business cycles: Cross recurrence plots and quantification analysis

Convergence and synchronisation of business and growth cycles are important issues in the efficient formulation of euro area economic policies, and in particular European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy. Although several studies in the economics literature address the issue of synchronicity of growth within the euro area, this is the first to address the issue using cross recurrence analysis. The main findings are that member state growth rates had largely converged before the introduction of the euro, but there is a wide degree of different synchronisation behaviours which appear to be non-linear in nature. Many of the euro area member states display what is termed here intermittency in synchronization, although this is not consistent across countries or members of the euro area. These differences in synchronization behaviors could introduce further challenges in managing the country-specific effects of the common monetary policy in the euro area.

ISBN
978-952-462-617-0
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 16/2010

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Economic Integration
Thema
Euro area
business cycles
growth cycles
recurrence plots
nonstationarity
complex systems
surrogate analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Crowley, Patrick M.
Schultz, Aaron
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Crowley, Patrick M.
  • Schultz, Aaron
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2010

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