Arbeitspapier

One money, several cycles? Evaluation of European business cycles using model-based cluster analysis

Optimal currency area theory suggests that business cycle co-movement is a sufficient condition for monetary union, particularly if there are low levels of labour mobility between potential members of the monetary union. Previous studies of co-movement of business cycle variables found that there was a core of member states in the EU that could be grouped together as having similar business cycle co-movements, but these studies have always used Germany as the country against which to compare. This study updates and extends corresponding previous analyses. More specifically, it correlates the countries against both German and euro area macroeconomic aggregates and uses more recent techniques in cluster analysis, namely model-based clustering techniques.

ISBN
978-952-462-421-3
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 3/2008

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic Integration
Foreign Exchange
Subject
business cycles
co-movement
optimal currency areas
model-based cluster analysis

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Crowley, Patrick M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Crowley, Patrick M.
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2008

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