Ice-shelf freshwater triggers for the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf melt tipping point in a global ocean–sea-ice model

Abstract km in the Southern Ocean) global ocean–sea-ice model. We find that a realistic spatial distribution of iceberg melt fluxes is necessary to prevent the FRIS melt regime change from unrealistically occurring under historical-reanalysis-based atmospheric forcing. Further, improvement of the default parameterization for mesoscale eddy mixing significantly reduces a large regional fresh bias and weak Antarctic Slope Front structure, both of which precondition the model to melt regime change. Using two different stable model configurations, we explore the sensitivity of FRIS melt regime change to regional ice-sheet freshwater fluxes. Through a series of sensitivity experiments prescribing incrementally increasing melt rates from the smaller, neighboring ice shelves in the eastern Weddell Sea, we demonstrate the potential for an ice-shelf melt “domino effect” should the upstream ice shelves experience increased melt rates. The experiments also reveal that modest ice-shelf melt biases in a model, especially at coarse ocean resolution where narrow continental shelf dynamics are not well resolved, can lead to an unrealistic melt regime change at downstream ice shelves. Thus, we find that remote connections between melt fluxes at different ice shelves are sensitive to baseline model conditions. Our results highlight both the potential and the peril of simulating prognostic Antarctic ice-shelf melt rates in a low-resolution global model.

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Ice-shelf freshwater triggers for the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf melt tipping point in a global ocean–sea-ice model ; volume:18 ; number:6 ; year:2024 ; pages:2917-2937 ; extent:21
The Cryosphere ; 18, Heft 6 (2024), 2917-2937 (gesamt 21)

Urheber
Hoffman, Matthew J.
Branecky Begeman, Carolyn
Asay-Davis, Xylar
Comeau, Darin
Barthel, Alice
Price, Stephen F.
Wolfe, Jonathan D.

DOI
10.5194/tc-18-2917-2024
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2408051549240.824472191065
Rechteinformation
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
14.08.2025, 10:48 MESZ

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Beteiligte

  • Hoffman, Matthew J.
  • Branecky Begeman, Carolyn
  • Asay-Davis, Xylar
  • Comeau, Darin
  • Barthel, Alice
  • Price, Stephen F.
  • Wolfe, Jonathan D.

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