Arbeitspapier

Horizontal industry relationships and return predictability

It has been documented that vertical customer-supplier links between industries are the basis for strong cross-sectional stock return predictability (Menzly and Ozbas (2010)).We show that robust predictability also arises from horizontal links between industries, i.e., from the fact that industries are competitors or offer products, which are substitutes for each other. These horizontally linked industries exhibit positively correlated fundamentals. The signal derived from this type of connectedness is the basis for significant alpha in sorted portfolio strategies, and informed investors take the related information into account when they form their portfolios. We thus provide evidence of return predictability based on a new type of economic links between industries not captured in previous studies.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: SAFE Working Paper ; No. 256

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Thema
connected industries
information flow
return predictability

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Schlag, Christian
Zeng, Kailin
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Goethe University Frankfurt, SAFE - Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2019

DOI
doi:10.2139/ssrn.3436006
Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-507368
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Schlag, Christian
  • Zeng, Kailin
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, SAFE - Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe

Entstanden

  • 2019

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