Arbeitspapier

Contracting, pricing, and data collection under the AI flywheel effect

This paper explores how firms that lack expertise in machine learning (ML) can leverage the so-called AI Flywheel effect. This effect designates a virtuous cycle by which, as an ML product is adopted and new user data are fed back to the algorithm, the product improves, enabling further adoptions. However, managing this feedback loop is difficult, especially when the algorithm is contracted out. Indeed, the additional data that the AI Flywheel effect generates may change the provider's incentives to improve the algorithm overtime. We formalize this problem in a simple two-period moral hazard framework that captures the main dynamics among ML, data acquisition, pricing, and contracting. We find that the firm's decisions crucially depend on how the amount of data on which the machine is trained interacts with the provider's effort. If this effort has a more (less) significant impact on accuracy for larger volumes of data, the firm underprices (overprices) the product. Interestingly, these distortions sometimes improve social welfare, which accounts for the customer surplus and profits of both the firm and provider. Further, the interaction between incentive issues and the positive externalities of the AI Flywheel effect has important implications for the firm's data collection strategy. In particular, the firm can boost its profit by increasing the product's capacity to acquire usage data only up to a certain level. If the product collects too much data per user, the firm's profit may actually decrease, i.e., more data is not necessarily better.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ESMT Working Paper ; No. 20-01 (R3)

Classification
Management
Subject
Data
Machine Learning
Data Product
Pricing
Incentives
Contracting

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gurkan, Huseyin
de Véricourt, Francis
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European School of Management and Technology (ESMT)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2021

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2021082013590070060296
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Gurkan, Huseyin
  • de Véricourt, Francis
  • European School of Management and Technology (ESMT)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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