Arbeitspapier

Gap-filling government debt maturity choice

Do governments strategically choose debt maturity to fill supply gaps across maturities? Building on a new panel data set of more than 9,000 individual Eurozone government debt issues between 1999 and 2015, I find that governments increase long-term debt issues following periods of low aggregate Eurozone long-term debt issuance, and vice versa. This gap-filling behavior is more pronounced for (1) less financially constrained and (2) higher rated governments. Using the ECB's three-year LTRO in 2011-2012 as an event study, I find that core governments filled the supply gap of longer maturity debt, which resulted from peripheral governments accommodating banks' short-term debt demand for "carry trades". This gap-filling implies that governments act as macro-liquidity providers across maturities, thereby adding significant risk absorption capacity to government bond markets.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 18-025

Classification
Wirtschaft
Central Banks and Their Policies
Fiscal Policy
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
Sovereign Debt
Maturity Structure
Market Segmentation
Central Bank Liquidity Provision
Long-Term Refinancing Operations

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Eidam, Frederik
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(where)
Mannheim
(when)
2018

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-461623
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Eidam, Frederik
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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