Arbeitspapier

Debt maturity without commitment

I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of default induced redistribution and costs due to income losses in the wake of a default. Their choice of short- versus long-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by subsequent policy makers. The equilibrium maturity structure is shaped by revenue losses on inframarginal units of debt that reflect the price impact of these decisions. The model predicts an interior maturity structure with positive gross positions and a shortening of the maturity structure when debt issuance is high, output low, or a cross default more likely. These predictions are consistent with empirical evidence.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2500

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
International Lending and Debt Problems
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
Debt
maturity structure
no commitment
default
Öffentliche Anleihe
Laufzeit
Debt Management
Steuerpolitik
Kreditrisiko
Soziale Kosten
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Niepelt, Dirk
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Niepelt, Dirk
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2008

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