Arbeitspapier

O futuro da inserção internacional do Brasil: Questões para o desenvolvimento até 2035

In Brazil, it has been difficult to elaborate governmental planning surpassing the four-year spectrum from the Pluriannual Plans. Despite the fact of long-term planning attracting a wide range of sectors, it still occupies a small space in both political and bureaucratic agendas. Hence, the present study proposes to initiate a new cycle of debates regarding the issue as it presents questions and factors to subsidy long-term strategies. Using methodological tools from Strategic Prospective, we present trends and uncertainties regarding Brazil's international insertion, contemplating topics such as the organization of the international system, foreign policy, international security and national defense. This study is part of Brasil 2035, a project whose objective is to provide subsidies to formulate long-term strategies for Brazil through Prospective Scenarios. Thus, this text presents a preliminary stage of a prospective process regarding the identification and analysis of the main variables. We do not intend to be conclusive, but rather to present some key factors and questions, which will affect Brazilian development until 2035.

Language
Portugiesisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Texto para Discussão ; No. 2335

Classification
Wirtschaft
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
International Relations and International Political Economy: Other
International Economic Order and Integration
International Law
Subject
strategic prospective
prospective scenarios
long-term planning
international relations
international insertion
regional integration
international security
national defense

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lima, Raphael Camargo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)
(where)
Brasília
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lima, Raphael Camargo
  • Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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