O futuro do Estado no Brasil e seus impactos na sociedade: Questões para o desenvolvimento até 2035

Arbeitspapier

In Brazil, it has been difficult to elaborate governmental planning surpassing the four-year spectrum from the Pluriannual Plans. Despite the fact of long-term planning attracting a wide range of sectors, it still occupies a small space in both political and State agendas. Hence, the present study intends to initiate a new cycle of debates regarding the issue as it presents questions and factors to subsidy long-term strategies. Using methodological tools from Strategic Prospective, we present both the methodological approach to scenarios and the trends and uncertainties regarding the relationship between State and Society - contemplating topics such as organization of the state apparatus, governmental planning, federative relations and social participation. This study is part of Brazil 2035, a project whose objective is to provide subsidies to formulate long-term development strategies for Brazil through Prospective Scenarios. Thus, this text presents a preliminary stage of a prospective process regarding the identification and analysis of the main variables. We do not intend to be conclusive; but rather to present some key factors and questions, which will affect Brazilian development until 2035.

Object Details

• Language: Portugiesisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Texto para Discussão ; No. 2326

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods ; Bureaucracy; Administrative Processes in Public Organizations; Corruption ; Public Policy ; Structure and Scope of Government: General ; Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government
• Subject: strategic prospective ; prospective scenarios ; long-term planning ; state ; public management ; public policy ; federalism ; social participation

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Lima, Raphael Camargo ; Curado, Maurício Pinheiro Fleury
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA)
• (where): Brasília
• (when): 2017

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/177542
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET