Arbeitspapier

Does the employment effect of National Minimum Wage vary by non-employment rate? A Regression Discontinuity approach

We examine the impact of increasing minimum wage on employment by exploiting variation in the age-dependent National Minimum Wage (NMW) in the UK. We extend the Regression Discontinuity model to evaluate the procyclicality of employment effect and show that previous estimates may be biased due to failure to account for the local non-employment rate. Contrary to the existing literature, we report a positive employment elasticity after accounting for the effect of local labour market conditions. The results suggest that the positive employment effect of increasing minimum wage is strongly procyclical, i.e. is more pronounced in areas with low non-employment rates. Under an assumption that employers have no direct impact around the cut-off point, the results suggest that a higher minimum wage increases labour supply of young workers.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: GLO Discussion Paper ; No. 1109

Classification
Wirtschaft
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Subject
minimum wage
macroeconomic fluctuation
regression discontinuity
age dependent
procyclicality

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Xu, Lei
Zhu, Yu
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Global Labor Organization (GLO)
(where)
Essen
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Xu, Lei
  • Zhu, Yu
  • Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Time of origin

  • 2022

Other Objects (12)