Arbeitspapier

Testing the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates in the presence of a potential regime shift

The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates is tested using monthly Eurodollar deposit rates for maturities 1, 3 and 6 months covering the period 1983: 1996:6.Whereas classical regression-based tests indicate rejection, tests based on a new model allowing for potential but unrealized regime shifts provide support for the expectations hypothesis.The peso problem is modelled by means of a threshold autoregression.The estimation results suggest that potential regime shift had an effect on expectations concerning the longer-term interest rate only for a short while in the early phase of the sample ??ri?d, when interest rates were at their highest.

ISBN
951-686-641-7
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 20/1999

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
peso problem
TAR models
term structure of interest rates

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Lanne, Markku
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
1999

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Lanne, Markku
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 1999

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