Arbeitspapier
Testing the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates in the presence of a potential regime shift
The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates is tested using monthly Eurodollar deposit rates for maturities 1, 3 and 6 months covering the period 1983: 1996:6.Whereas classical regression-based tests indicate rejection, tests based on a new model allowing for potential but unrealized regime shifts provide support for the expectations hypothesis.The peso problem is modelled by means of a threshold autoregression.The estimation results suggest that potential regime shift had an effect on expectations concerning the longer-term interest rate only for a short while in the early phase of the sample ??ri?d, when interest rates were at their highest.
- ISBN
-
951-686-641-7
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 20/1999
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
- Thema
-
peso problem
TAR models
term structure of interest rates
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Lanne, Markku
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Bank of Finland
- (wo)
-
Helsinki
- (wann)
-
1999
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Lanne, Markku
- Bank of Finland
Entstanden
- 1999