Arbeitspapier

Forecasting interest rates

This chapter discusses what the asset-pricing literature concludes about the forecastability of interest rates. It outlines forecasting methodologies implied by this literature, including dynamic, no-arbitrage term structure models and their macro-finance extensions. It also reviews the empirical evidence concerning the predictability of future yields on Treasury bonds and future excess returns to holding these bonds. In particular, it critically evaluates theory and evidence that variables other than current bond yields are useful in forecasting. - -Term structure ; affine models ; predicting bond returns ; predicting bond yields

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 599

Classification
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Duffee, Gregory R.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Johns Hopkins University, Department of Economics
(where)
Baltimore, MD
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Duffee, Gregory R.
  • The Johns Hopkins University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2012

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