Arbeitspapier

Corporate Distress and Restructuring with Macroeconomic Fluctuations: The Cases of GM and Ford

Traditional methods for evaluating corporate credit risk rarely consider the impact of the macro economy on corporate value and performance. We argue that lenders and management can obtain valuable information about the need for and approach to restructuring by decomposing default predictions into intrinsic and macroeconomic factors. We apply a method previously used for measuring macroeconomic exposures on default predictions in order to filter out macroeconomic factors. In this paper the method is applied on an analysis of the Z-scores for GM and Ford for the period 1996–2005. The macro economy has affected the two firms in different ways with implications for managements' and creditors' approaches to restoring their financial health.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IFN Working Paper ; No. 780

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Bankruptcy; Liquidation
Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Voting; Proxy Contests; Corporate Governance
Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change; Industrial Price Indices
Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment; Related Parts and Equipment
Thema
Credit Risk
Creditworthiness
Z-Scores
Default Predictions
Ford
Restructuring
Macroeconomic Exposure
Insolvenz
Kreditrisiko
Konjunktur
Dekompositionsverfahren
Prognoseverfahren
Kraftfahrzeugindustrie
USA

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Oxelheim, Lars
Wihlborg, Clas
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN)
(wo)
Stockholm
(wann)
2009

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Oxelheim, Lars
  • Wihlborg, Clas
  • Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN)

Entstanden

  • 2009

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