Characterising the financial cycle: A multivariate and time-varying approach

Konferenzbeitrag

We extract and analyse financial cycles for 13 European Union countries using a quarterly dataset spanning over 1971-2013. For identification of financial cycles, we employ a novel spectral approach determining the most important common cyclical fluctuations across total credit, residential property prices, equity prices, and benchmark bond yields. Results suggest that the most important financial cycles are on average 12 years, but with some dispersion across countries. Compared to business cycles, financial cycles have more important fluctuations in the medium term (8-20 years); but less important fluctuations in the short run (2.5-8 years). Regarding the extracted financial cycles, credit and residential property prices best summarize contemporaneous movements across financial indicators in almost all country cases.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2015: Ökonomische Entwicklung - Theorie und Politik - Session: Financial frictions and the cycle ; No. B01-V3

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) ; Money and Interest Rates: General ; Quantitative Policy Modeling

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Schüler, Yves Stephan ; Hiebert, Paul P. ; Peltonen, Tuomas A.
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (when): 2015

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/112985
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET