Arbeitspapier

Does conditionality work? A test for an innovative US aid scheme

Performance-based aid has been proposed as an alternative to the failed traditional approach whereby donors make aid conditional on the reform promises of recipient countries. However, hardly any empirical evidence exists on whether ex post rewards are effective in inducing reforms. We attempt to fill this gap by investigating whether the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) was successful in promoting better control of corruption. We employ a difference-in-difference-in-differences (DDD) approach, considering different ways of defining the treatment group as well as different time periods during which incentive effects could have materialized. We find evidence of strong anticipation effects immediately after the announcement of the MCC, while increasing uncertainty about the timing and amount of MCC aid appear to weaken the incentive to fight corruption over time. We conclude that - if designed properly -conditionality can work.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1630

Classification
Wirtschaft
Foreign Aid
Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
Subject
Foreign Aid
Corruption
Millennium Challenge Corporation
MCC Effect
Entwicklungshilfekonditionen
Korruption
Kriminalpolitik
Bilaterale Entwicklungshilfe
Amerikanisch
Wirkungsanalyse
Entwicklungsländer

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Öhler, Hannes
Nunnenkamp, Peter
Dreher, Axel
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Öhler, Hannes
  • Nunnenkamp, Peter
  • Dreher, Axel
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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