Arbeitspapier

Optimal price indices for targeting inflation under incomplete markets

In models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize welfare by replicating the flexible price equilibrium. In this paper, we develop a twosector two-good closed economy new Keynesian model to study the optimal choice of price index in markets with financial frictions. Financial frictions that limit credit-constrained consumers' access to financial markets make demand insensitive to interest rate fluctuations. The demand of credit-constrained consumers is determined by their real wage, which depends on prices in the flexible price sector. Thus, prices in the flexible price sector influence aggregate demand and, for monetary policy to have its desired effect, the central bank has to stabilize price movements in the flexible price sector. Also, in the presence of financial frictions, stabilizing core inflation is no longer equivalent to stabilizing output fluctuations. Our analysis suggests that in the presence of financial frictions a welfaremaximizing central bank should adopt flexible headline inflation targeting - a target based on headline rather than core inflation, and with some weight on the output gap. We discuss why these results are particularly relevant for emerging markets, where the share of food expenditures in total consumption expenditures is high and a large proportion of consumers are credit-constrained.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 5137

Classification
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Subject
inflation targeting
monetary policy framework
core inflation
headline inflation
financial frictions
liquidity constraints

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Anand, Rahul
Prasad, Eswar S.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2010

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-201010133398
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Anand, Rahul
  • Prasad, Eswar S.
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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