Arbeitspapier

Adaptive learning and multiple equilibria in a natural rate monetary model with unemployment persistence

This paper demonstrates that the adaptive learning approach to modelling private sector expectations can be used as an equilibriumselection mechanism in a natural-rate monetary model with unemployment persistence.In particular, it is shown that only one of the two rational expectations equilibria is stable under least-squares learning, and that it is always the low-inflation equilibrium with intuitive comparative statics properties that is the learnable equilibrium.Hence, this paper provides a basic theoretical justification for focusing on the lowinflation equilibrium.Earlier contributions, in which the high-inflation equilibrium was ignored, mainly because of its unpleasant characteristics, are not theoretically satisfactory.

ISBN
952-462-098-7
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 30/2003

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Expectations; Speculations
Monetary Policy
Thema
adaptive learning
monetary policy
multiple equilibria
persistence

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Rantala, Anssi
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2003

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Rantala, Anssi
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2003

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