Arbeitspapier

Predictive density evaluation

This chapter discusses estimation, specification testing, and model selection of predictive density models. In particular, predictive density estimation is briefly discussed, and a variety of different specification and model evaluation tests due to various authors including Christoffersen and Diebold (2000), Diebold, Gunther and Tay (1998), Diebold, Hahn and Tay (1999), White (2000), Bai (2003), Corradi and Swanson (2005a,b,c,d), Hong and Li (2003), and others are reviewed. Extensions of some existing techniques to the case of out-of-sample evaluation are also provided, and asymptotic results associated with these extensions are outlined.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2006-21

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Model Construction and Estimation
Thema
block bootstrap
density and conditional distribution
forecast accuracy testing
mean square error
parameter estimation error

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Corradi, Valentina
Swanson, Norman R.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Rutgers University, Department of Economics
(wo)
New Brunswick, NJ
(wann)
2005

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Corradi, Valentina
  • Swanson, Norman R.
  • Rutgers University, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2005

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