Arbeitspapier

Inattention to rare events

The world recently experienced several rare events with disastrous consequences: the global financial crisis, the European sovereign debt crisis, and the Fukushima nuclear accident. These events have in common that key decision-makers were unprepared for them, which aggravated these events. We develop a model in which agents make state-contingent plans — prepare to act in different contingencies — subject to the constraint that agents can process only a finite amount of information. We identify the forces that make agents prepare little for some contingencies. We study whether a social planner would want agents to prepare more for rare events.

ISBN
978-92-899-1654-7
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1841

Classification
Wirtschaft
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Central Banks and Their Policies
Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General
Subject
disasters
efficiency
rare events
rational inattention

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Maćkowiak, Bartosz
Wiederholt, Mirko
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Maćkowiak, Bartosz
  • Wiederholt, Mirko
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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