Arbeitspapier

Carbon pricing of basic materials: Incentives and risks for the value chain and consumers

For the European Union to realise its ambition of carbon neutrality, emissions from basic material production need to be reduced through low-carbon production processes, material efficiency and substitution, as well as enhanced recycling. Different reform options for the EU ETS are discussed that ensure a consistent carbon price incentive for all these mitigation options, while avoiding the risk of carbon leakage. This paper offers a first quantification of potential carbon leakage risks, distributional implications and additional revenues associated with different mechanisms: an import- only border carbon adjustment (BCA), a symmetric BCA, and an excise for embodied carbon emissions at a fixed benchmark level in combination with continued free allocation. We estimate the product-level carbon intensities for about 4,400 commodity groups, including basic materials, material products, and manufactured goods and compute implied price changes and cost increases relative to gross value added to assess the scale of carbon leakage risks.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1935

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade and Environment
Input-Output Models
Subject
emissions trading
border carbon adjustment (BCA)
excise duty
carbon intensity
carbon leakage
distributional effects
fiscal revenues

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Stede, Jan
Pauliuk, Stefan
Hardadi, Gilang
Neuhoff, Karsten
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Stede, Jan
  • Pauliuk, Stefan
  • Hardadi, Gilang
  • Neuhoff, Karsten
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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