The renminbi and exchange rate regimes in East Asia

Arbeitspapier

With the rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC) as the world's largest trading nation (measured by trade value) and second largest economic power (measured by GDP), its economic influence over the neighboring emerging economies in East Asia has also risen. The PRC introduced some exchange rate flexibility in July 2005, and in the wake of the global financial crisis has been pursuing a policy to internationalize its currency, the renminbi (RMB). Clearly the exchange rate policy of the PRC has significant implications for exchange rate regimes in emerging East Asia. This paper examines the behavior of the RMB exchange rate and the impact of RMB movements on those of other currencies in emerging East Asia during the period 2000 - 2014. We apply the Frankel-Wei regression model to identify changes in the RMB exchange rate regime over time and a modified version of the model, developed by the authors in their earlier paper, to estimate the RMB weight in an emerging East Asian economy's currency basket. We find that the US dollar continues to be the dominant anchor currency in the region, while the RMB has taken on increasing importance in the currency baskets of many East Asian economies in recent years. The paper also explores how monetary and currency cooperation - led by the PRC and Japan - can promote intra-East Asian exchange rate stability under the pressure of rising financial market openness in the PRC.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: ADBI Working Paper ; No. 484

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Economic Integration ; Foreign Exchange ; Financial Aspects of Economic Integration ; Open Economy Macroeconomics ; Development Planning and Policy: Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
• Subject: renminbi internationalization ; prc ; emerging economies ; east asia ; frankel-wei model

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Kawai, Masahiro ; Pontines, Victor
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI)
• (where): Tokyo
• (when): 2014

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/101164
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET