Arbeitspapier

Extending the labour market indicator to the Canadian provinces

Calculating the labour market indicator (LMI) at the provincial level provides useful insights into Canada's regional economies and reveals differing trends in the state of underlying labour market conditions across provinces. Conclusions based on the Canadian LMI do not necessarily translate to the provinces. In most cases, the correlations between the provincial LMIs and the underlying labour market variables have the expected sign. Differences among provinces reflect idiosyncratic differences among provincial labour markets. The values of the provincial LMIs are not invariant to the sample period used when constructing them. We find that using a longer sample estimation period improves the properties of some of the provincial LMIs. Recent values for the LMI show that labour markets have deteriorated notably in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Newfoundland and Labrador. At the same time, the LMIs for British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec and New Brunswick have improved over the course of the past year and the gap between the unemployment rate and the LMI has tended to narrow.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper ; No. 2016-2

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
Labor Demand
Subject
Labour markets
Recent economic and financial developments

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Fritsche, Alexander
Ragan, Katherine
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2016

DOI
doi:10.34989/sdp-2016-2
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Fritsche, Alexander
  • Ragan, Katherine
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2016

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