Arbeitspapier

Risk Management-Driven Policy Rate Gap

We employ real-time data available to the US monetary policy makers to estimate a Taylor rule augmented with a measure of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output gap, and output growth. However, this evidence regards the Greenspan-Bernanke period only. Focusing on this period, the “risk-management” approach is found to be responsible for monetary policy easings for up to 75 basis points of the federal funds rate.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7177

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General
Money and Interest Rates: General
Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General
Subject
risk management-driven policy rate gap
uncertainty
monetary policy
Taylor rules
real-time data

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caggiano, Giovanni
Castelnuovo, Efrem
Nodari, Gabriela
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caggiano, Giovanni
  • Castelnuovo, Efrem
  • Nodari, Gabriela
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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