Arbeitspapier

Foreign and Domestic Growth Drivers in Eastern Europe

This paper analyses the growth effects of capital formation, exports and FDI as major drivers of economic development in Eastern Europe. The fundamental innovations are identified by empirically and theoretically motivated short- and long-run restrictions in structural cointegrated vector autoregressions. Impulse responses and variance decompositions reveal quite different growth effects in various Eastern European countries. Generally, strong reliance on exports goes along with higher GDP, and FDI bears substantial potential for fostering economic growth. It is shown that the recent worldwide recession clearly hit Eastern Europe through the export channel, whereas the recovery is mainly supported by positive demand shocks.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Arbeiten aus dem Osteuropa-Institut Regensburg ; No. 286

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Subject
Eastern Europe
Growth
Exports
Investment
Identification
Wirtschaftswachstum
Investition
Export
Direktinvestition
Schätzung
Osteuropa

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Weber, Enzo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Osteuropa-Institut Regensburg
(where)
Regensburg
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Weber, Enzo
  • Osteuropa-Institut Regensburg

Time of origin

  • 2010

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