Arbeitspapier

Uncertainty, misallocation and the life-cycle growth of firms

We develop a measure of static misallocation that separates uncertainty from misallocation generated by tax-like distortions. In the Finnish firm-level data, uncertainty accounts for the majority of ex post misallocation and explains a strong decreasing age-dependent trend in it. To understand these observations, we set up a life-cycle model of firm growth where new firms have to learn their productivity. We match our model with the salient features of the data and show that our model implies idiosyncratic distortions, in line with our accounting approach. According to our quantitative results, uncertainty suppresses output by 38%, while misallocation has a 26% negative effect on output.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion paper ; No. 146

Classification
Wirtschaft
Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
Macroeconomics: Production
Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Subject
firm dynamics
uncertainty
misallocation

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mäkynen, Eero
Vähämaa, Oskari
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Aboa Centre for Economics (ACE)
(where)
Turku
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mäkynen, Eero
  • Vähämaa, Oskari
  • Aboa Centre for Economics (ACE)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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