Konferenzbeitrag

Simulation for the estimation of the survival probabilities of enterprises and banks within a prolonged duration of the debt crisis

In the current paper, we study the stability and the survival probabilities of enterprises and banks within a prolonged duration of the debt-crisis, with Monte Carlo simulation. We utilize historical data from banks and enterprises within the debt-crisis to define crisis-variability and crisis-average values of input parameters of the simulation. We introduce the concept of equities maximum draw-down as dynamic survival indicator. Finally we estimate the survival probabilities of enterprises and banks within a prolonged duration of the debt crisis.

Language
Englisch

Classification
Wirtschaft
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Accounting
Subject
Monte Carlo simulation
Bankruptcy probabilities
Debt-crisis
Bank stability

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kyritsis, Costas
Hytis, Evangelos
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Technological Educational Institute of Athens
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
(where)
Athens
(when)
2013-05-23

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Associated

  • Kyritsis, Costas
  • Hytis, Evangelos
  • Technological Educational Institute of Athens
  • ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft

Time of origin

  • 2013-05-23

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