Trade and welfare effects of the WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement

Arbeitspapier

The WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) has been predicted to bring about an expansion in trade flows and real income gains. To date, there is still very limited empirical evidence on the actual post-implementation impact of the TFA. This paper provides an assessment, combining econometric estimations from a structural gravity model with general equilibrium modelling results. The main insight is that the TFA increased trade, in particular in agriculture, between developing countries that made commitments. General equilibrium estimations indicate that agricultural trade increases by 5% worldwide, while total trade increases by 1.17% worldwide as a result of TFA implementation. Trade gains accrue in particular to LDCs, whose exports increase by 2.4% overall (17% in agriculture). Furthermore, as a result of TFA implementation, real income increases by 0.12% worldwide (0.24% for LDCs).

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: WTO Staff Working Paper ; No. ERSD-2023-04

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations ; Empirical Studies of Trade ; Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
• Thema: Trade facilitation ; Structural gravity ; CGE models

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Beverelli, Cosimo ; Gourevich, Isabella ; Heiland, Inga ; Keck, Alexander ; Larch, Mario ; Yotov, Yoto
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): World Trade Organization (WTO)
• (wo): Geneva
• (wann): 2023

Weitere Informationen

• DOI: doi:10.30875/25189808-2023-4
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/269254
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ