In search of a modelling strategy for projecting internal migration in European countries - Demographic versus economic-geographical approaches

Konferenzbeitrag

Internal migration is the most volatile and difficult to predict component of regional demographic change. A pure demographic approach using age and sex-specific parameters of migration intensities cannot fully capture the migration trends over time. One of the approaches that can be used for a better description of past trends and forecasting of future trends is to use additional non-demographic information such as regional economic indicators. In this paper we compare the predictive performance of pure demographic and extended economic-geographical models using data of four European countries at the so-called NUTS 2 level. The models are nested within a GLM specification%2C that allows both demographic and extended models to be written as specific cases of loglinear models. Therefore model fit and performance can be compared directly.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: 45th Congress of the European Regional Science Association: "Land Use and Water Management in a Sustainable Network Society", 23-27 August 2005, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Van Wissen, Leo JG ; Gaag, Nicole ; Rees, Phil ; Stillwell, John
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): European Regional Science Association (ERSA)
• (where): Louvain-la-Neuve
• (when): 2005

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/117861
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET