Arbeitspapier

How media content influences economic expectations: Evidence from a global expert survey

This article sheds light on the impact of the media on economists' expectations for future economic developments. We conducted a worldwide economic expert survey and find that the media provides most economists with valuable information that influences their expectations. This applies significantly more for economists in countries with long standing democratic systems and developing countries with somewhat flawed democratic institutions than for economists in newer democracies and countries with authoritarian regimes. Moreover, the experts estimate the influence of the media remarkably higher on others than on themselves. This is consistent with the theory of the third-person effect that says that an individual's behavior is influenced due to the belief that other people find certain issues important and act accordingly.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ifo Working Paper ; No. 380

Classification
Wirtschaft
Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs: General
Expectations; Speculations
Entertainment; Media
Comparative Economic Systems: General
Subject
Economic expectations
media
expert survey
third-person effect

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Boumans, Dorine
Müller, Henrik
Sauer, Stefan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
(where)
Munich
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Boumans, Dorine
  • Müller, Henrik
  • Sauer, Stefan
  • ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

Time of origin

  • 2022

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