Artikel

Testing for near I(2) trends when the signal-to-noise ratio is small

Researchers seldom find evidence of I(2) in exchange rates, prices, and other macroeconomics time series when they test the order of integration using univariate Dickey-Fuller tests. In contrast, when using the multivariate ML trace test they frequently find double unit roots in the data. The paper demonstrates by simulations that this often happens when the signal-to-noise ratio is small

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal ; ISSN: 1864-6042 ; Volume: 8 ; Year: 2014 ; Issue: 2014-21 ; Pages: 1-30 ; Kiel: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Classification
Wirtschaft
Methodological Issues: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Subject
Univariate and multivariate unit root tests
double unit roots
near I(2)

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Juselius, Katarina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2014

DOI
doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2014-21
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Juselius, Katarina
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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