Arbeitspapier

Testing for near I(2) trends when the signal to noise ratio is small

Researchers seldom find evidence of I(2) in exchange rates, prices, and other macroeconomics time series when they test the order of integration using univariate Dickey-Fuller tests. In contrast, when using the multivariate ML trace test we frequently find double unit roots in the data. Our paper demonstrates by simulations that this often happens when the signal-to-noise-ratio is small.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Economics Discussion Papers ; No. 2014-8

Classification
Wirtschaft
Methodological Issues: General
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Subject
univariate and multivariate unit root tests
double unit roots
near I(2)

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Juselius, Katarina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Juselius, Katarina
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2014

Other Objects (12)