Arbeitspapier

Intertemporal stability of ambiguity preferences

To make predictions with theories, usually we assume an individual's characteristics such as uncertainty preferences to be stable over time. In this paper, we analyze the stability of ambiguity preferences experimentally. We repeatedly elicit ambiguity attitudes towards multiple 3-color Ellsberg urns over a period of two months. In our data, 57% of the choices are consistent with stable preferences over the time of observation. This share is significantly higher than random choices would suggest, but significantly lower than the level of consistency in a control treatment without a time lag (71%). Interestingly, for subjects who are able to recall their decision after two months correctly, the share of consistent choices does not drop significantly over time.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper Series ; No. 548

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
ambiguity
stability of preferences
experiment

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Duersch, Peter
Römer, Daniel
Roth, Benjamin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
(where)
Heidelberg
(when)
2013

DOI
doi:10.11588/heidok.00015400
Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-154005
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Duersch, Peter
  • Römer, Daniel
  • Roth, Benjamin
  • University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2013

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