Arbeitspapier

Welfare-based monetary policy rules in an estimated DSGE model of the US economy

We develop and estimate a stylized micro-founded model of the US economy. Next we compute the parameters of a simple interest rate policy rule that maximizes the unconditional mean of utility. We show that such a welfare-based rule lies close to the Taylor efficiency frontier. A counterfactual analysis assesses to what extent using such a rule as a guideline for monetary policy would have helped to avoid the inflationary swings of the 1970s and reduce the severity of boom and bust cycles. The paper also provides estimates of the welfare implications of business cycle variability and discusses their relevance.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 613

Classification
Wirtschaft
Model Construction and Estimation
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Subject
competition
Markups
monetary policy
Taylor Rule
Geldpolitik
Taylor-Regel
Makroökonometrie
Wettbewerb
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Juillard, Michel
Karam, Philippe
Laxton, Douglas
Pesenti, Paolo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Juillard, Michel
  • Karam, Philippe
  • Laxton, Douglas
  • Pesenti, Paolo
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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