Arbeitspapier

Identifying the role of labor markets for monetary policy in an estimated DSGE model

We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages in line with an optimizing rationale in a New Keynesian closed economy DSGE model. We estimate the model using Bayesian techniques for German data from the late 1970s to present. Given the pre-euro heterogeneity in wage bargaining we take this as the first-best approximation at hand for modelling monetary policy in the presence of labor market frictions in the current European regime. In our framework, we find that labor market structure is of prime importance for the evolution of the business cycle, and for monetary policy in particular. Yet shocks originating in the labor market itself may contain only limited information for the conduct of stabilization policy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFS Working Paper ; No. 2007/07

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Bayesian Analysis: General
Subject
Labor Market
Wage Rigidity, Bargaining
Bayesian Estimation
Geldpolitik
Arbeitsmarktflexibilisierung
Lohnrigidität
Konjunktur
Inflationsrate
Allgemeines Gleichgewicht
Dynamisches Modell
Schätzung
Theorie
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Christoffel, Kai
Kuester, Keith
Linzert, Tobias
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-38176
Last update
14.03.2025, 11:44 PM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Christoffel, Kai
  • Kuester, Keith
  • Linzert, Tobias
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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