Artikel

No Germany-wide housing bubble but overvaluation in regional markets and segments

Although the housing prices in the 127 largest German cities have surged strongly in recent years, there is still no sign of a Germanywide housing bubble. In comparison with 2009, the price of condominiums has risen by around 55 percent. Single-family houses cost between 38 and 45 percent more in 2016 than seven years prior, and building lot prices have risen by around 63 percent. The study at hand shows that concerns about a national housing bubble are largely unfounded. There may, however, be bubbles on the local level -primarily in the relatively small segment of new multi-story apartment buildings but also with regard to the valuation of undeveloped residential land. Given the situation, it seems appropriate that financial regulators have opened up more policy options in order to intervene when the market trend proves unsustainable. But because the measures were diluted in the federal legislative process, the need for policy-related action remains.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: DIW Economic Bulletin ; ISSN: 2192-7219 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 25/26 ; Pages: 255-264 ; Berlin: Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Thema
house prices
speculative bubble
explosive root
German cities

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.
Michelsen, Claus
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2017

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Kholodilin, Konstantin A.
  • Michelsen, Claus
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Entstanden

  • 2017

Ähnliche Objekte (12)