Arbeitspapier

Business cycle implications of mortgage spreads

How do aggregate quantities at the business cycle frequency respond to shocks to the spread between residential mortgage rates and government bonds? Using a structural VAR approach, we .nd that mortgage spread shocks impact the real economy by both economically and statistically signi.cant magnitudes: a 100 basis point decline in the spread causes a peak increase in consumption, residential investment and GDP by 1.6 percent, 6.2 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively. These e¤ects are magni.ed when the policy rate is held .xed, as was the case in the US during the recent implementation of unconventional monetary policy.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 275

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Housing Demand
Subject
Sources of business cycles
unconventional monetary policy
credit supply
housing demand
house prices
financial frictions

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Walentin, Karl
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Walentin, Karl
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2014

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