Arbeitspapier

Globalization and inflation: The role of China

In this paper, we develop a theoretical model which identifies four channelsimport prices, competition with domestic suppliers and workers, and commodity pricesthrough which priceand wage-setting conditions in country j may affect inflation in country i. We estimate a dynamic inflation equation derived from the theoretical model using a quarterly dataset of eighteen OECD countries over the 1984-2006 period. Although our methodology can be applied to any pair of countries, we focus on the effect of China on the inflation rate of other countries. Our results suggest that while China's negative effect on global inflation has been quantitatively modest, it has increased in absolute terms since the early 2000s. We also find evidence that, for most countries examined, competition with domestic suppliers has been the most important channel.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2008-35

Classification
Wirtschaft
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Subject
International topics
Globalisierung
Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
Inflationsübertragung
Import
China
OECD-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Côté, Denise
De Resende, Carlos
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2008

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2008-35
Handle
Last update
15.10.2025, 11:57 PM CEST

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Côté, Denise
  • De Resende, Carlos
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2008

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